Team News Riveting
Ahmedabad, November 28
An opinion poll suggested that the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party in Gujarat is heading for comfortable win with an absolute majority in the ensuing state assembly elections
The India TV-Matrize final opinion poll said Congress would be in the second position. The results of this opinion poll were telecast Monday evening on India TV news channel.
According to the opinion poll, BJP may win a comfortable majority with 109-124 seats in the 182-member Gujarat assembly, while Congress may win 51-66 seats, AAP may win 0-7 seats and ‘Others’ may win 0-1 seat. In the 2017 assembly elections, BJP had won 99 seats while Congress bagged 77 and others two seats.
Voting percentage wise, the opinion poll says, BJP may poll 49.9 per cent, Congress 39.1 per cent, AAP 7.5 per cent and others may get 3.5 per cent votes. In 2017 assembly elections, BJP had got 49.44 per cent votes, Congress 42.97 per cent and others 7.59 per cent.
The sample size taken in India TV-Matrize final opinion poll was 45,500 respondents (27,300 males and 18,200 females) spread in 182 assembly constituencies of Gujarat between November 20 and 27. In every assembly constituency, at least 250 respondents were contacted. The margin of error in opinion poll could be plus and minus 5 per cent.
In the survey, 49 per cent respondents said Narendra Modi would be the game changer in elections, while 30 per cent said “to some extent” and 19 per cent “will have no effect”.
When asked what will save BJP from anti-incumbency, 46 per cent respondents said Narendra Modi, 23 per cent said change of non-performing MLAs while 16 per cent attributed better election management.